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CA, DRE License # 01150449

Wednesday, December 14, 2005

What Causes Mortgage Rates To Change?

Did you know that one or more rate changes per day is normal?

Actually, it is unusual not to have at least one rate change in a day. Most people do not know that. Rate quotes can change when you call back later that same day. In the lending business, a rate change can also include a change in the point cost for the same rate. In other words, a rate can be no points in the morning, then later that day cost ΒΌ point. That is a rate change to lenders. Did you also know that mortgage rates are not directly affected by what Alan Greenspan does? Many times a fed rate cut can cause mortgage rates to go up. Mortgage rates change primarily based on: 1) the perception of inflation, 2) times of uncertainty and 3) the movement of money in and out of the stock market--that's it. When a piece of economic data shows weakness or uncertainty in the economy, rates tend to fall. The opposite is also true. A drop in the unemployment rate, a rise in durable goods orders, a rise in the consumer confidence index--rates go up. These influencing factors can present themselves at any time, many without warning, affecting mortgage rates instantly. There is no "delay". It doesn't take time to "filter down" like some people think. Reading the paper for quotes doesn't really work because the information is old by the time you read it. Radio, TV and billboards are not the answer because the details are always missing. They just want to get you on the phone. Competitive lenders can deliver nearly identical rates to each other. Most borrowers don't ask the right questions and focus only on the interest rate. Try to think MATH and as it pertains to you. That's all that matters.

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